NBS: Nigeria enters second recession in four years

NBS: Nigeria enters second recession in four years

The Nigerian economy is headed for bleak times as the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Saturday, November 21, officially confirmed Nigeria had slipped into a recession.

The same happened in 2016; making it the second recession in a space of four years.

1st News analysed official figures published by the NBS; which depicted the economy shrank again in the third quarter of this year.

The nation’s economy maintained a second consecutive negative growth; after contracting by 3.62 per cent in the third quarter.

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The cumulative Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first nine months of 2020; therefore, stood at -2.48 per cent just as it recorded a -6.10 per cent in the second quarter.

“Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) recorded a growth rate of –3.62% (year-on-year) in real terms in the third quarter of 2020,” the NBS report partly read.

“Cumulatively, the economy has contracted by -2.48%.While this represents an improvement of 2.48% points over the –6.10% growth rate recorded in the preceding quarter (Q2 2020); it also indicates that two consecutive quarters of negative growth have been recorded in 2020.

“Furthermore, growth in Q3 2020 was slower by 5.90% points when compared to the third quarter of 2019 which recorded a real growth rate of 2.28% year on year.”

For the first time in more than three years, the Nigerian economy shrank in the second quarter of 2020 as the GDP fell by 6.10 per cent; compared with a growth of 1.87 per cent in Q1.

In August, the NBS said that the economic decline in Q2 was largely attributable to significantly lower levels; of both domestic and international economic activity resulting from nationwide shutdown efforts; aimed at containing the COVID-19 pandemic.

It said the contraction in Q2 brought to an end the three-year trend of low but positive real growth rates recorded since the 2016/17 recession.

In May, Finance Minister, Zainab Ahmed, had predicted that the coronavirus pandemic; and falling oil prices were set to force the economy into negative growth.

“COVID-19 has resulted in the collapse in oil prices,” she said.

“This will impact negatively; and the impact has already started showing on the federation’s revenues; and on the foreign exchange earnings.”

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