Another pillar of dictatorship is going down in Africa, ending a long reign of dictatorship, and Sudanese are joyous as a result of the end of a tyrant, Omar Al-Bashir.
However, the bitter truth is that history does not support an optimistic aftermath with antecedents showing most revolutions only to give birth to terrible monsters in stead of the ousted tyrants.
The November 1917 revolution that ended the reign of Tzars in Russia produced Lenin and his later apostles such as Joseph Stalin and other dictators from the Soviet empire.
At the collapse of Soviet, Boris Yeltsin only held the stool for Vladimir Putin, the current train KGB ruler of Russia and his alleged plot to rule the world.
The people of Sudan must take lessons from their neighbours who experienced the Arab string.
Out of all the nations that experience the powerful Arab spring that removed long reign leaders, such as Muammar Gaddafi (Libya), Hosni Mubarak (Egypt), Ben Ali (Tunisia), Abdullah Saleh (Yemen), only Tunisia remains a success story.
Since the Arab uprising in Egypt which removed long-term ruler, Hosni Mubarak, the subsequent election produced the Islamic Brotherhood government led by Mohammed Morsi who is currently in detention over the death of protesters who voiced their approval over his party power grab one year into his administration.
Today another military man in suit, Abdulfatah Sisi is the new strong man of Egypt and he was the former Defence Minister under Morsi.
I am sure Egyptians are seeing a young Hosni Mubarak in their strong man.
Another neighbour with a disaster of a revolution is Libya.
Things have gotten so bad that several Libyans reminisce the ‘good old days’ under the late flamboyant dictator, Ghaddafi.
Today, Libya is partitioned by several warlords with a national government called General National Congress backed by the international community controlling less territory than renegade Gen Khalifa Hafta’s forces.
The Arab state of Iraq has also borne the brunt of the brutal aftermath of popular remonstrations by the citizenry.
The triumphant soldiers of the US that captured Sadam Hussein later became villains, while his absence gave rise to the dreadful situation where once peaceful Baghdad became a theatre of bomb blasts and the Sunnis who felt marginalised under Nouri Maliki-led government embraced Abubakar Albagdadi as a saviour.
Even post-Mugabe Zimbabwe is not looking promising as the ills of Mugabe’s maladministration lingers, with the citizenry still suffering due to an acute lack of basic amenities which has led to disillusionment after the euphoria of the revolution.
Al-Bashir is just a man, but the institution or better yet the ‘system’ he must have created would be there to frustrate and sabotage any meaningful reform to achieve the needed transformation.
This is not an attempt to cast revolutions in a bad light because there are several revolutions that have disposed of despots which paved way for genuine societal change but the momentum must be sustained.
The easiest part has been achieved but the process of transition and national reconciliation must commence.
It will be a fallacy to assume that in a country where ethnicity and clans reign supreme, everyone is against Al-Bashir.
The man under house arrest ruled the once oil-rich Sudan for 30years, with vast resources obviously stashed all over the globe in anticipation of a day like this, after all, he survived several uprisings and protests including the Arab uprising.
The Sudanese citizenry must ensure the transition to democracy is internal with minimal foreign intervention and interference.
Institution building will definitely require some purging, which must be done in with the interest of the people at the core.
As soon as clan and other primordial sentiment become the driver in a country with a history of violence, there will not be a short supply of international arms dealers who will be eager to fan the embers of violence in order to create a booming and profitable market.
The United Nations and the Africa Union should also play a supervisory role in the process of transition.
The world cannot afford another Somali, Libya and South Sudan.
Bringing down Al-Bashir was the easiest part but the process of rebuilding will be way more difficult.
To put things into perspective, Ahmed ibn Auf who is the head of the Transition Council could be either the Sudanese’ Abdulsalam Abubakar or the next Saddam Hussein.